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NBA Daily Fantasy Basketball Sleeper Lineup Picks for 10/16/18

*Mike Barner — @rotomikebarner*

After an eventful summer that saw stars like LeBron James and Kawhi Leonard change teams, the NBA season tips off with a two-game slate Tuesday. Normally we highlight cheaper sleeper plays that could help you cash in DFS. However, since there are only two games to select from, we’ll take a look at some of the better options available across the entire price scale. Don’t forget to sign up for our Newsletter and try our Playerlab tool, where you can filter the stats that matter the most and help build a winning entry on FanDuel and DraftKings.

POINT GUARDS

NBA Daily Fantasy Basketball Sleeper Lineup Picks for 10/16/18

Stephen Curry, GS vs. OKC
FanDuel = $9,600
DraftKings = $8,600

The Warriors made a big splash in free agency by signing DeMarcus Cousins. Cousins has traditionally been among the league leaders in usage rate, but he’s obviously never been surrounded by such elite scoring talent. It will be interesting to see how his addition impacts the rest of the All-Stars on the team, but that’s of no concern Tuesday as Cousins continues to work his way back from a torn Achilles. Curry’s 30.6% usage rate was 10th-highest in the league last season and the Warriors played a the fifth-fastest pace (100.4 possessions per game), so expect him to have plenty of opportunities to contribute in their opener.

Markelle Fultz, PHI at BOS
FanDuel = $5,700
DraftKings = $5,000

Fultz’s rookie campaign was nothing short of a disaster. The top pick in the draft played only 14 games due to injury and worked extensively to try and correct his shooting woes. In something you don’t really see in the NBA, the Sixers used Fultz in the starting lineup to begin games during the preseason but brought him off the bench in the second half. They have confirmed they will also deploy this strategy Tuesday, so expect Fultz to play somewhere around the 23 minutes per game that he averaged across the preseason. His upside isn’t very high, but if you want to go cheap at point guard, he’s at least someone to consider based on his new role.

SHOOTING GUARDS

NBA Daily Fantasy Basketball Sleeper Lineup Picks for 10/16/18

Dennis Schroder, OKC at GS
FanDuel = $6,100
DraftKings = $6,300

The addition of Schroder could prove to be significant for the Thunder. He was stellar for the Hawks last year, averaging 19.4 points, 3.1 rebounds, 6.2 assists, 1.1 steals and 1.1 three-pointers per game. Expect those numbers to decline playing alongside Russell Westbrook and Paul George, but Westbrook might not play in this contest as he recovers from knee surgery. If he indeed sits, George is going to need all the help he can get to keep up with the Warriors high-scoring offense, so expect Schroder to be productive.

Andre Iguodala, GS vs. OKC
FanDuel = $4,300
DraftKings = $4,000

The Warriors could be forced to play a lot of small lineups Tuesday. Not only is Cousins out, but Draymond Green is likely going to be on a minutes limit as he battles a knee injury. The Warriors don’t have much size behind Green, so expect Iguodala to be heavily involved. Although Iguodala likely won’t be counted on to provide much scoring, that doesn’t mean he can’t provide value at this price in tournament play.

SMALL FORWARDS

NBA Daily Fantasy Basketball Sleeper Lineup Picks for 10/16/18

Paul George, OKC at GS
FanDuel = $9,000
DraftKings = $8,000

The star trio of George, Westbrook and Carmelo Anthony didn’t work for the Thunder last year. With Anthony now a member of the Rockets, George and Westbrook will have to shoulder even more of the scoring load. George was already extremely productive last year by averaging 21.9 points per game, but his 25.7% usage rate was his lowest mark since the 2012-13 season. He’s going to get all the shots he can handle if Westbrook is sidelined, but he’s a great option even if Westbrook manages to take the floor.

Robert Covington, PHI at BOS
FanDuel = $6,500
DraftKings = $4,700

Covington sometimes gets lost behind Ben Simmons and Joel Embiid, but his ability to shoot three’s and play defense are critical for the Sixers. His offensive ceiling is capped playing with those two stars, but he did average 12.6 points and 2.5 three-pointers per game last season. The Sixers are going to be somewhat thin at small forward with Wilson Chandler out due to a hamstring injury, which opens up the door for Covington to provide added value.

POWER FORWARDS

NBA Daily Fantasy Basketball Sleeper Lineup Picks for 10/16/18

Dario Saric, PHI at BOS
FanDuel = $6,400
DraftKings = $5,500

Saric made significant improvements offensively last season. After shooting 41.1% from the field and 31.1% from behind the arc during his rookie season, he shot 45.3% from the field and 39.3% on three-pointers last year. His ability to create spacing is key, especially with Simmons’ limited range. He averaged 30 minutes a night and should have a similar role this season, leaving him one of the better options at possibly the thinnest position of the night.

Jerami Grant, OKC at GS
FanDuel = $4,700
DraftKings = $4,300

The loss of Anthony has created a hole at power forward for the Thunder that will be filled by the combination of Grant and Patrick Patterson. Neither played heavy minutes consistently last year, but Grant possessed the better per-36 minutes averages of 14.9 points, seven rebounds, and 1.7 blocks. He may be better suited in this game to play against the lengthy, athletic wings for the Warriors and won’t cost much more than the minimum on both sites, so he might be worth taking a flier on.

CENTERS

NBA Daily Fantasy Basketball Sleeper Lineup Picks for 10/16/18

Joel Embiid, PHI at BOS
FanDuel = $10,400
DraftKings = $8,800

Embiid only played in 63 games during the regular season last year, but he was a monster when he was on the court. His 33.5% usage rate was not only the highest on the team, but it was the third-highest in the league behind only James Harden and Westbrook. He wasn’t just about scoring, though, averaging 11 rebounds, 3.2 assists and 1.8 blocks per contest. The Celtics are a tough defensive team, but Embiid averaged 23 points, 14 rebounds and 3.6 assists per game against them in the playoffs last year.

Steven Adams, OKC at GS
FanDuel = $6,900
DraftKings = $5,800

The Thunder had very little size outside of Adams last year, leading to him averaging a career-high 33 minutes per contest. He cashed in his opportunity, averaging 13.9 points, nine rebounds, 1.2 steals and one block. His 55.9% free-throw percentage left a lot to be desired if you played in a season-long league, but that’s of no concern in DFS. This could be a matchup to exploit against the Warriors with Green potentially limited and few quality options behind him at center, although you will need to monitor Adams’ status since he is listed as questionable with a stiff lower back. If he doesn’t play, pivot to Nerlens Noel.

NBA Daily Fantasy Basketball Sleepers for 2/8/18

*Mike Barner*

NBA Daily Fantasy Basketball Sleepers for 2/8/18

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POINT GUARDS

NBA Daily Fantasy Basketball Sleepers

J.J. Barea, DAL at GS
FanDuel = $4,900
DraftKings = $4,700

The Mavericks have struggled to score this season, which has resulted in Barea posting the second-highest usage rate (25%) on the team. He’s played well in his first three matchups against the Warriors this season, averaging 13.3 points, 3.0 rebounds, and 7.0 assists per contest. Combine his usage rate with the fact that the Warriors play at the second-fastest pace (102.6 possessions per game) in the league and Barea becomes a viable option for your entry.

Fred VanVleet, TOR vs. NY
FanDuel = $4,900
DraftKings = $4,600

VanVleet has been given more playing time lately, logging at least 20 minutes in each of his last five games. He’s made the most of the opportunity, averaging 14.8 points, 3.8 rebounds, 4.4 assists and 2.0 three-pointers per contest. He gets a great matchup against a depleted Knicks squad Thursday that allows the sixth-most points per game on FanDuel and the seventh-most points per game on DraftKings to opposing point guards. At this price, he might be worth the risk.

 

SHOOTING GUARDS

NBA Daily Fantasy Basketball Sleepers

Josh Hart, LAL vs. OKC
FanDuel = $6,300
DraftKings = $5,500

Hart has started each of the last three games for the Lakers, logging at least 31 minutes in each contest. He hasn’t let the Lakers down, averaging 14.7 points, 12.0 rebounds, 2.3 assists, 1.3 steals and 2.7 three-pointers per contest. The Lakers won each game, so look for him to stick in the starting lineup with Lonzo Ball (knee) still sidelined. He just scored 14 points and grabbed 11 rebounds against the Thunder on Sunday and should be someone to consider again in their rematch.

Wesley Matthews, DAL at GS
FanDuel = $5,800
DraftKings = $5,800

Matthews is not a great offensive player, but he still has value because he plays a lot on a Mavericks team thin on talent. He only has a 17.5% usage rate, but he’s averaging 34 minutes per game. He has also played well in three games against the Warriors this season, averaging 16.0 points, 3.0 rebounds, 3.0 assists, 1.0 steal and 3.7 three-pointers per contest. The price is right to take a chance on him again Thursday.

SMALL FORWARDS

NBA Daily Fantasy Basketball Sleepers

Michael Beasley, NY at TOR
FanDuel = $6,200
DraftKings = $6,300

Kristaps Porzingis (knee) is out for the season, likely leaving Beasley to take over as the Knicks starting power forward. He is a volume scorer and has played well when given extended playing time this season, averaging 25.5 points, 8.3 rebounds, 2.7 assists and 1.2 blocks in six games where he has played at least 30 minutes. His priced already jumped up significantly, but it’s still low enough to make him worth consideration for your entry.

Mario Hezonja, ORL vs. ATL
FanDuel = $5,400
DraftKings = $5,300

The Magic will be without Aaron Gordon (hip) again on Thursday, marking the sixth straight game he will miss. Hezonja has played at least 25 minutes in each of the first five games that Gordon was sidelined, averaging 15.2 points, 4.4 rebounds, 2.4 assists and 3.2 three-pointers per contest. The Magic play at the seventh-fastest pace (101) in the league and get to face a bad Hawks team Thursday, leaving Hezonja with upside.

POWER FORWARDS

NBA Daily Fantasy Basketball Sleepers

Dwight Powell, DAL at GS
FanDuel = $5,500
DraftKings = $4,500

Powell has started each of the last three games for the Mavericks, averaging 10.7 points, 8.7 rebounds and 1.7 assists in those three contests. He averaged 29 minutes per game in those three starts compared to 19 minutes per game on the season overall. The added playing time gives him a big boost in value, especially Thursday considering the pace at which the Warriors play. At this price, he’s worth taking a chance on in tournament play.

Jerami Grant, OKC at LAL
FanDuel = $5,200
DraftKings = $4,800

The Thunder have one of the thinnest benches in the league, leaving Grant as one of the best members of their second unit. He’s currently having one of his best stretches of the season, averaging 12.3 points and 6.7 rebounds in his last six games. Thursday brings a favorable matchup against the Lakers, who play at the fastest pace (103) and allow the fifth-most points per game (109.7) in the league. Both Russell Westbrook (ankle) and Carmelo Anthony (ankle) are listed as questionable as well, so the Thunder might really need to lean on Grant if either of them can’t play. Even if they both do take the floor, Grant is still a viable option for your entry.

CENTERS

NBA Daily Fantasy Basketball Sleepers

Steven Adams, OKC at LAL
FanDuel = $6,900
DraftKings = $6,700

Adams continues to anchor the middle for the Thunder, posting a double-double in eight of his last 13 games. He’s provided value defensively as well, recording at least three steals in five games during that same stretch. In his first three meetings with the Lakers this season, Adams averaged 15.0 points, 7.0 rebounds, 2.0 steals and 1.7 blocks per contest. His price isn’t that cheap, but it’s still reasonable enough to give him value Thursday.

Kyle O’Quinn, NY at TOR
FanDuel = $4,000
DraftKings = $4,400

The Knicks are clearly sellers heading into Thursday’s NBA trade deadline, so you’ll have to keep an eye on O’Quinn’s status throughout the day as he could be dealt. If he isn’t traded though, he is going to be in line for significant playing time Thursday with Porzingis and Enes Kanter (mouth) out and Willy Hernangomez traded to the Hornets. He has played at least 20 minutes in a game 15 times this season, averaging 10.7 points, 8.9 rebounds, 2.3 assists and 1.3 blocks per contest. He could end up being one of the better value plays of the night if he’s still on the Knicks.

NBA Fantasy Basketball Schedule Analysis for Week 6

*Mike Barner*

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Point Guard

NBA Fantasy Basketball Schedule Analysis for Week 6

Week 6 brings a bit of a different schedule in the NBA as there is only one game Tuesday and no teams will play Thursday. There are still advantages to be gained over your opponent though by diving deeper into which teams play the most and fewest games. Here are the moves you want to consider for your team based on the schedule this week.

Teams With The Most Games – 4 Games Each
Atlanta Hawks, Boston Celtics, Charlotte Hornets, Chicago Bulls, Memphis Grizzlies, Minnesota Timberwolves, New Orleans Pelicans, New York Knicks, Oklahoma City Thunder, Orlando Magic, Portland Trail Blazers

There are 11 teams that all play four games each this week, giving their players added value. Fantasy suds like Kyrie Irving, DeMarcus Cousins, and Kristaps Porzingis will be even more valuable with this advantage. If you aren’t lucky enough to have several players from these teams on your fantasy squad, consider adding the players below.

NBA Fantasy Basketball Schedule Analysis for Week 6

Denzel Valentine, Chicago Bulls

Valentine has finally moved into the starting lineup for the Bulls after they had really struggled to find a viable starter at small forward. He played at least 32 minutes in both starts, averaging 13.5 points, 6.0 rebounds, 4.5 assists and 3.5 three-pointers. Even though David Nwaba has a chance of returning from injury at some point this week, Valentine is still one of the better scoring options on the Bulls. He is still available in 71% of Yahoo! leagues and would be an especially good pickup if you need help with three-pointers.

Mario Chalmers, Memphis Grizzlies

The Grizzlies are down one of their best players as Mike Conley will be out for at least two weeks due to injury. His absence opens up an opportunity for Mario Chalmers to join the starting five. Chalmers has played well in three starts so far this season, averaging 7.0 points, 3.7 rebounds, 6.3 assists and 2.7 steals per game. With two of his four games this week being matchups against bad teams in the Mavericks and Nets, Chalmers could be in for some big assists and steals totals. He is still available in 88% of Yahoo! leagues.

Jerami Grant, Oklahoma City Thunder

The Thunder have one of the best starting five in the league, but they also have one of the weakest second units. One of their best bench players is Grant, who is averaging 24 minutes per game as a result. While he hasn’t excelled in any particular area, he has been solid with averages of 8.9 points, 4.7 rebounds, 1.1 assists, 0.9 steals and 0.9 blocks per game. Grant has great matchups this week with three of his four games coming against the Warriors, Pistons and Mavericks, all teams that tend to use small lineups. If you need to bench a forward who is only playing two games this week, look for Grant on waivers as he is still available in 92% of Yahoo! leagues.

Teams With The Fewest Games – 2 Games Each
Detroit Pistons, Houston Rockets, Los Angeles Lakers

With so many teams playing four games this week, the players on the three teams that only play two games take a major hit. Consider benching the below players who would normally be in your starting lineup.

NBA Fantasy Basketball Schedule Analysis for Week 6
Brook Lopez, Los Angeles Lakers

Lopez is having a down year overall as he is averaging 15.4 points, 4.8 rebounds, 1.9 assists, 1.8 blocks and 1.5 three-pointers per game. Part of the problem is that he is averaging a career-low 24 minutes per contest. He always struggled to provide sufficient rebounding numbers out of the center spot, but his value takes a real hit if he’s not playing enough to provide added value from behind the arc. With only two games on the schedule this week, it’s best to put Lopez on your bench.

Reggie Jackson, Detroit Pistons

Jackson has been a steady source of production for fantasy owners as he is averaging 15.6 points, 3.3 rebounds, 6.0 assists and 1.4 three-pointers per game. One of the main reasons for his improvement is that he is shooting 45.1% from the field after struggling to shoot only 41.9% last year. While he does have two decent matchups this week against the Cavaliers and Thunder, he doesn’t excel in any one area enough to keep him in your lineup. Valentine and Chalmers are both shaping up to be better options than Jackson this week.

Eric Gordon, Houston Rockets

Gordon is having one of the best starts to his career as he is averaging 20.9 points, 2.2 rebounds, 2.9 assists and 3.5 three-pointers per game. One of the main reasons for his hot start is because he was starting in place of the injured Chris Paul. Paul has returned, pushing Gordon back to a bench role. In his last two games off the bench, Gordon is averaging 12.5 points, 1.5 rebounds, 2.0 assists and 2.0 three-pointers per game. In his new role and only two games this week, it would be wise to put him on your bench.