Contrarian DFS Plays for NFL GPP Contests – Week 5 – 10/7

Pretty good week when the top correlation was Watson / Hopkins / Ebron.  That was a good start to making some money last weekend.  Week five is here, and we now have what I consider to be some actionable data.  There are a bunch of massive totals this weekend and these games should draw the majority of ownership.  Below are some correlations that I like to have success this weekend.

Ben Roethlisberger / Antonio Brown / Julio Jones

Highest total, and neither team can play a lick of defense.  There should be fireworks in Pittsburgh tomorrow.  This is an expensive approach but both Ben comes in as my number two ranked QB, and both Julio and AB are top 35 overall.  If this game pops off as expected, both should eat a turkey dinner on National TV.  If you plan to game stack this thing, you have to include a contrarian piece somewhere.  Consider James Washington and / or Mahomed Sanu.  Vance McDonald is a great cash game play from this one as well and obviously, Juju is Juju.

Devante Adams and one of the Detroit WR’s

Lots of questions surround the health of Green Bay as I write this on Saturday.  If their offense looks healthy, this game could easily descend into an offensive onslaught as neither side plays great defense.  Adams will play and Rodgers will use him a lot here and Stafford has a good matchup against the Green Bay secondary, which has not been impressive to date.  Jones Jr. has a great history against the Packers but Golladay has really emerged as a legit top potential target in this offense.  Ranking them, I’d prefer Tate then Golladay. 

Doug Baldwin / Brandin Cooks

Earl Thomas is gone for the season, which means open season on Seattle’s porous pass defense.  I like Cooks tomorrow and he should be able to get behind the Seattle secondary when the Rams choose.  Two long TD’s wouldn’t surprise me here.  On the flip side, Seattle is going to have to throw the ball here and game script may lead to further passing as well.  Russ is worth a GPP flier, and Baldwin is his main man.  A game stack could include Russ, Baldwin, Cooks, Gurley, and Vannett, which leaves room for exposure to the other games as well.

Cam Newton / Christian McCaffery / Devin Funchess / Saquon Barkley and Sterling Shepard

I think the first two Panthers here need little introduction.  Cam is the top QB on my board tomorrow and both of his top weapons have a good chance of finding the end zone.  The only real worry here is the slow pace in which the Giants run their offense.  Funchess, with Olsen out, is the main cog in the passing game and Cam’s favorite target in the WR / TE core.  If you think the Giants can keep up here, two or three of their star offensive players make sense on the comeback.

TJ Yeldon / Jags Defense

Rain is expected in Kansas City today which is likely to have an impact on the passing offenses in this game.  KC is attempting to ascend into the upper echelons of AFC consideration while the Jags will look to continue their good start.  The Jags defense is BY FAR, the most talented unit that Mahomes will have faced to date.  He was fortunate to avoid turnovers on 3 occasions against Denver last weekend.  I don’t think he’ll be so lucky today and I think he’ll be under pressure for most of the day as well.  Yeldon will get the bulk of the carries and should have some good opportunities to find the endzone. 

Alternative Game Stack

Minnesota at Philadelphia – neither defense is what the public thinks at this point.  Both QB’s have high upside and a narrower group of targets.  Wentz will primarily use three guys and Cousins, with Cook out, will target Theilen and Diggs a bunch.